MarketAnalysisMarketAnalysis
NYSE:ALB

Albemarle Corporation - NYSE:ALB - Comprehensive analysis

We are removing Albemarle from our Best Ideas list. Currently, Albemarle shares are trading at a significant discount to our $200 fair value estimate and remain in 5-star territory. We maintain a positive long-term outlook for higher lithium prices, driven by increasing global EV sales and the expansion of energy storage system batteries, which are expected to boost lithium demand growth at a faster rate than supply, thereby balancing the market. However, we anticipate near-term uncertainty regarding demand due to tariff-related inflation, as well as supply challenges, as battery producer CATL and Chinese state-owned enterprises continue to increase high-cost, low-quality lithium production. Although these operations may be running at a loss, their continued presence in the market could prolong oversupply conditions. Consequently, we are identifying other opportunities within the basic materials sector that present stronger near-term catalysts.

Free evaluation through quantitative algorithms Albemarle Corporation - NYSE:ALB

Quant Rating

1

Strong Sell

2

Sell

3

Hold

4

Buy

5

Strong Buy


The overall quant rating is not an average of the factor grades listed.Instead, it gives greater weight to the metrics with the strongest predictive value.

Growth-Scoring Model Detail

Name

Fatcor
Percentage

Total Revenue Growth Over Prior Year

-44.08

Market

1

Sector

1

Gross Profit Growth Over Prior Year

-92.96

Market

1

Sector

2

EBITDA Growth Over Prior Year

0

Market

0

Sector

0

EBITA Growth Over Prior Year

0

Market

0

Sector

0

EBIT Growth Over Prior Year

0

Market

0

Sector

0

Earnings from Cont. Ops. Growth Over Prior Year

0

Market

0

Sector

0

Net Income Growth Over Prior Year

0

Market

0

Sector

0

Normalized Net Income Growth Over Prior Year

-96.3

Market

1

Sector

1

Diluted EPS before Extra Growth Over Prior Year

0

Market

0

Sector

0

A/R Growth Over Prior Year

-38.82

Market

2

Sector

3

Inventory Growth Over Prior Year

-30.48

Market

2

Sector

2

PPE Net Growth Over Prior Year

-1.89

Market

25

Sector

39

Total Assets Growth Over Prior Year

-9.09

Market

6

Sector

18

Tangible Book Value Growth Over Prior Year

-21.38

Market

8

Sector

11

Common Equity Growth Over Prior Year

-17.91

Market

7

Sector

13

Cash from Ops. Growth Over Prior Year

-47.03

Market

5

Sector

13

CAPEX Growth Over Prior Year

-21.57

Market

13

Sector

26

Dividend per Share Growth Over Prior Year

0.63

Market

37

Sector

66

Levered Free Cash Flow Growth Over Prior Year

0

Market

0

Sector

0

Unlevered Free Cash Flow Growth Over Prior Year

0

Market

0

Sector

0

Profitability-Scoring Model Detail

Name

Fatcor
Percentage

Gross Margin %

1.57

Market

5

Sector

9

SG&A Margin %

11.07

Market

42

Sector

60

EBITDA Margin %

-0.17

Market

1

Sector

4

EBITA Margin %

-10.69

Market

1

Sector

4

EBIT Margin %

-11.12

Market

1

Sector

4

Earnings from Cont. Ops Margin %

-21.12

Market

2

Sector

6

Net Income Margin %

-21.93

Market

2

Sector

6

Net Income Avail. for Common Margin %

-24.47

Market

2

Sector

6

Normalized Net Income Margin %

0.94

Market

3

Sector

28

Levered Free Cash Flow Margin %

-22.92

Market

4

Sector

5

Unlevered Free Cash Flow Margin %

-20.99

Market

3

Sector

5

Return on Assets %

-2.14

Market

1

Sector

14

Return on Capital %

-2.69

Market

1

Sector

14

Return on Equity %

-11.43

Market

3

Sector

17

Return on Common Equity %

-15.36

Market

3

Sector

17

Total Asset Turnover

0.31

Market

29

Sector

18

Sub-Scoring Model

Valuation
Momentum
Growth
Profitability
80
60
40
20
Valuation: 48
Momentum: 64
Growth: 9
Profitability: 7

Valuation-Scoring Model Detail

Name

Fatcor
Percentage

TEV/LTM Total Revenue

3.08

Market

41

Sector

72

TEV/LTM EBITDA

16.88

Market

62

Sector

82

P/LTM Normalized EPS

160

Market

99

Sector

100

P/BV

1.25

Market

8

Sector

33

TEV/LTM Unlevered FCF

0

Market

0

Sector

0

Momentum-Scoring Model Detail

Name

Fatcor
Percentage

1M Price Performance

25.1

Market

100

Sector

83

3M Price Performance

53

Market

100

Sector

89

6M Price Performance

10.82

Market

71

Sector

56

9M Price Performance

-22.07

Market

13

Sector

34

1Y Price Performance

-3.68

Market

36

Sector

47

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